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Amid a holiday-shortened week in Europe, traders will be looking ahead to the latest flash PMI surveys from the Eurozone to get a sense of how business confidence has fared in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Meanwhile Tesla and Netflix earnings reports are among the highlights from Wall Street as the Q1 reporting season continues.

Eurozone data

A big focus for the market will the latest Eurozone purchasing managers indices (PMIs). EU consumer confidence tumbled due to the war in Ukraine, with inflation the big kitchen table worry. The last round of flash PMIs released on March 23rd pointed to surging input cost inflation and this being passed onto consumers. The German private sector saw the steepest rise in overall input costs on record for the series (since Jan 1998). Incidentally, the PMIs show activity was holding up pretty well, in part it seems because for now companies can pass the costs on, and demand is not a problem.

However, the business confidence reading from the French PMI fell to its lowest since January 2021. In Germany, businesses’ expectations worsened considerably, falling to their lowest since June 2020. German manufacturer confidence turned negative, suggesting more firms expect a fall in output in the year ahead, for the first time since May 2020. Confidence has been shaken by the war in Ukraine, a natural reaction, but also very much by the subsequent expected rise in inflation, which was already high, and supply disruption, which was already bad.

Earnings Season

18.04 19.04 20.04 21.04 22.04

Bank of America Corp (BAC) PMO

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) PMO

International Business Machines (IBM) AMC

Netflix Inc (NFLX) AMC

Procter & Gamble (PG) PMO

Tesla Inc (TSLA) AMC

AT&T (T) PMO

Philip Morris International (PM) PMO

American Express (AXP) PMO

Schlumberger Ltd (SLB) PMO

Verizon Communications Inc (VZ) PMO

Major economic data

Mon Apr 18 12:01am GBP Rightmove HPI m/m
12:30am JPY National Core CPI y/y
3:00am CNH GDP q/y
CNH Retail Sales y/y
CNH Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y
CNH Industrial Production y/y
CNH NBS Press Conference
CNH Unemployment Rate
All Day CHF Bank Holiday
All Day GBP Bank Holiday
All Day EUR French Bank Holiday
All Day EUR German Bank Holiday
All Day EUR Italian Bank Holiday
Tentative EUR German Buba Monthly Report
1:15pm CAD Housing Starts
3:00pm USD NAHB Housing Market Index
Day 1 All IMF Meetings
11:30pm NZD BusinessNZ Services Index
Tue Apr 19 2:30am AUD Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
5:30am JPY Revised Industrial Production m/m
1:30pm CAD Foreign Securities Purchases
USD Building Permits
USD Housing Starts
Day 2 All IMF Meetings
3:30pm AUD CB Leading Index m/m
Tentative NZD GDT Price Index
Wed Apr 20 12:50am JPY Trade Balance
1:30am AUD MI Leading Index m/m
5:30am JPY Tertiary Industry Activity m/m
7:00am EUR German PPI m/m
9:00am CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations
EUR German ifo Business Climate
EUR Italian Trade Balance
10:00am EUR Trade Balance
11:00am GBP CBI Industrial Order Expectations
Tentative EUR German 30-y Bond Auction
Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction
Tentative GBP 30-y Bond Auction
1:30pm CAD CPI m/m
CAD Common CPI y/y
CAD Median CPI y/y
CAD Trimmed CPI y/y
CAD Core CPI m/m
CAD NHPI m/m
3:00pm USD Existing Home Sales
Day 3 All IMF Meetings
3:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories
7:00pm USD Beige Book
11:45pm NZD CPI q/q
Thu Apr 21 1:30am JPY Flash Manufacturing PMI
8:15am EUR French Flash Services PMI
EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI
8:30am EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR German Flash Services PMI
9:00am EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI
EUR Flash Services PMI
9:30am GBP Flash Manufacturing PMI
GBP Flash Services PMI
10:00am EUR Final CPI y/y
EUR Final Core CPI y/y
1:30pm USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
USD Unemployment Claims
3:00pm EUR Consumer Confidence
USD CB Leading Index m/m
Day 4 All IMF Meetings
3:30pm USD Natural Gas Storage
Fri Apr 22 12:00am AUD Flash Manufacturing PMI
AUD Flash Services PMI
12:01am GBP GfK Consumer Confidence
7:00am CHF Trade Balance
GBP Retail Sales m/m
9:00am EUR Current Account
11:00am GBP CBI Realized Sales
1:30pm CAD Core Retail Sales m/m
CAD Retail Sales m/m
CAD IPPI m/m
CAD RMPI m/m
2:45pm USD Flash Manufacturing PMI
USD Flash Services PMI
Day 5 All IMF Meetings
Tentative USD Treasury Currency Report

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