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Morning Note

Morning Note: Markets on the Move: Stocks Rally Amid Economic Uncertainty

RIP Art Cashin, the best of market commentators. He had unrivalled market knowledge and a knack for telling a good story in his notes. Here’s an excerpt from one I remember from around this time of year in 2019, just before the Covid pandemic changed a whole lot for so long.

Morning Note: ADP Jobs Data, Dow Peaks, and Bitcoin: Market Movers Ahead

Today, the market will be paying close attention to the release of the ADP NonFarm Employment Change, a key indicator for measuring job creation in the private sector in the United States.

Morning Note: Markets Brace for Inflation Data and FED Rate Decision

Global markets are starting the day with their attention focused on important economic indicators and corporate events that promise to influence investor sentiment. Highlights include inflation data in the United Kingdom and the Eurozone and relevant corporate results that could move specific sectors.

Morning Note: Key Levels & Data Driving the Last Monday of 2024

Global markets are watching a series of important events that could significantly influence the behaviour of financial assets. Key economic data and technical levels on the charts highlight potential opportunities and risks for investors.

Morning Note: US Dollar Strength, Apple’s Momentum, and Alibaba’s Critical Levels

The financial market begins 2025 with a series of important events and movements that could shape trends in the coming months.
Apple bearish trend?

Morning Note: Apple’s Bearish Turn: What’s Behind the Stock’s Downward Shift?

Apple’s investment plan to reintegrate itself in the Indonesian market was not successful as it did not satisfy the domestic smartphone content requirement of 40 percent.

Morning Note: U.S. Jobs Surge Spurs Dollar Rally, Shakes Global Markets

Last Friday, data from the U.S. Labor Department showed that the U.S. economy added 256,000 jobs in December, significantly exceeding economists' expectations of a 160,000 gain.
Bitcoin surges

Morning Note: U.S. PPI Data Holds Steady; Bitcoin and NZD Respond to Market Shift

The U.S. December Producer Price Index is forecasted to remain unchanged at 0.4%, while the core PPI is also expected to stay at 0.2%. Overall, the PPI features weights that represent the average price change the domestic producer receives for his goods.
Gold price graph

Morning Note: PPI Pressures USD, Eyes on CPI for Fed's Next Move

The recently released cooler-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data has put pressure on the U.S. dollar and benefitted gold, as lower inflation might prompt the Fed to cut rates sooner.
US unemployment 

Morning Note: U.S. Unemployment and Retail Sales Data Drive Market Focus

Core U.S. inflation was 0.2% in December, matching forecasts but lower than November's 0.3%. The annualised core inflation rate currently stands at 3.2% but was slightly lower than what economists had predicted in December at 3.3%.

Morning Note: S&P 500 Reaches Record High Amid Trump’s Rate and Oil Policy Hints

The S&P 500 reached an all-time high on Thursday as investors evaluated a mix of corporate earnings and absorbed comments from President Donald Trump, including his call for interest rate and oil price cuts.
Gold-market

Morning Note: Gold Steadies as Markets Await Fed’s First 2025 Rate Decision

On Monday, gold dipped from highs on a firmer dollar, and investors' attention changed to the first Fed meeting of 2025 for cues on the U.S. interest rate path.

Morning Note: USD Jumps on Trump’s Tariffs as CAD and Bitcoin Face Pressure

The dollar index improved by about one percent to around 109.8 on Monday, setting a two-year-high mark after President Donald Trump imposed broad tariffs on major trading partners this past weekend, igniting fears over a possible inflation rebound.

Morning Note: MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet, DeepSeek AI Rivalry, and Oil Price Shifts

MicroStrategy has once again made a bold financial move by raising $563.4 million from issuing 7.3 million convertible preferred shares at $80.

Morning Note: Yen Rises, AUD Struggles, Uber’s Q4: Key Market Insights

Japan’s inflation-adjusted real wages grew by 0.6% year-on-year in December, thanks to winter bonuses, disclosed preliminary government statistics released on Wednesday.

Morning Note: BoE Rate Cut, ECB’s Caution, and Amazon’s Earnings

The Bank of England looks set to cut interest rates on Thursday for only the third time since 2020. In doing so, the central bank faces the challenge of ensuring support for a sluggish economy and dealing with persistent inflationary pressures.

Week Ahead: Investors Focus on U.S. Inflation Data

This week, several key economic events will shape market sentiment. On Monday, Japan will release its current account balance, providing insights into trade and investment flows.

Morning Note: Palantir Hits New Highs, Yen Strengthens, and U.S. NFP Data Awaited

Palantir reported decent Q4 2024 results on Monday, which were in line with investors' expectations, surging its share price.

Morning Note: McDonald’s Q4 Outlook, Gold’s Rally, and NZD Under Pressure

McDonald's is on track to have year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, powered by good digital engagement, new menu additions, and continued unit expansion.

Morning Note: U.S. Inflation Rises, Alibaba Earnings in Focus, and Oil Prices Dip

As of December 2024, the U.S. CPI rose by 0.4% month-over-month, following a 0.3% increase in November. This increased the annual inflation rate to 2.9%, rising from 2.7% in the previous month.

Morning Note: US Retail Dip, Moderna Struggles & Japan’s Inflation Surge

As of December 2024, U.S. retail sales increased by 0.4% month-over-month, following an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in November.

Morning Note: Japan GDP Surges, Ethereum Plans Scalability, and GameStop Eyes Bitcoin

Japan's economy grew 0.7% quarter-on-quarter in Q4, up from 0.4% in the previous quarter and above forecasts of 0.3%. On an annualised basis, this means that the GDP expanded 2.8% in Q4, as expected, rising from 1.7% in Q3.

Morning Note: RBA Cuts Rates, Canada’s Inflation Rises & BoE Stays Cautious

The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered cash rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%. This is the first cash rate cut since November 2020, when the pandemic led to a record low of 0.1%.

Morning Note: Walmart’s Q4 Results, Rising Jobless Claims, and Canada’s PPI Surge

Walmart (WMT) is set to provide valuable insights into consumer shopping trends when it releases its Q4 results on Thursday, February 20, at 12:00 GMT.

Morning Note: Oil Prices Climb, UK Retail Sales Rise & U.S. PMI

Oil prices rose consecutively for the past four days, mainly driven by declining U.S. gasoline and distillates inventories, which heightened expectations for strong demand.

Morning Note: Zoom Q4 Earnings, Eurozone Inflation & Oil Prices

Zoom Video is scheduled to report fourth quarter fiscal 2025 results on 24th February 2024 at GMT 22:00. For the fiscal fourth quarter, the revenues are expected to be $1.18 billion, suggesting a 2.77% rise from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure. Zoom’s strategic initiatives might have influenced fourth-quarter performance.

Morning Note: Bitcoin Dips, U.S. Consumer Confidence, and S&P 500 Falls

Bitcoin's market dipped after President Donald Trump's announcement during a press conference on February 24 with French President Emmanuel Macron, where he affirmed that the proposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would move forward as planned.

Morning Note: Nvidia Earnings, Aussie CPI, Gold's Slide

DeepSeek's influence caused a notable decline in NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) stock last month. Although a significant portion of the drop has been recovered, the stock is now concentrating on the upcoming fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year earnings report, scheduled for release on February 26 at GMT 10:00 PM.

Morning Note: Palantir's Plunge, US Jobless Claims, Swiss GDP Outlook

Palantir’s stock is down 20% in the last 5 days after reports of an 8% annual cut in the US defence budget over the next 5 years. In 2024, Palantir generated $2.9 billion in revenue, with government clients making up 55% of that.

Morning Note: Tokyo Inflation Slows, US Core PCE Price Data, Canada GDP

Core consumer prices in Japan's capital rose 2.2% in February compared to a year earlier, according to data released at 23:50 GMT on Thursday.

Morning Note: S&P 500 Slumps, Eurozone Jobs, CrowdStrike Earnings in Focus

On Monday, U.S. stocks showed a significant decline, and the S&P 500 suffered the biggest daily percentage drop since December 18.

Morning Note: Swiss Inflation, US Jobs, & Eurozone PPI

The Swiss inflation rate for February will be released at 07:30 GMT, and it is expected to be 0.2% year-on-year, down from 0.4% in January.

Morning Note: Broadcom’s AI-Driven Earnings, ECB Rate Cut, and US Jobless Claims

Broadcom (AVGO) is scheduled to reveal its fiscal 2025 first-quarter results on March 6 at 22:00 GMT. The business anticipates $14.6 billion in revenue for the quarter, which is 22.23% more than it made at the same time last year.

Morning Note: U.S. Jobs Data, Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve, and Canada’s Unemployment Rate

The U.S. non-farm payrolls for January recorded an increase of 143,000 jobs, while the forecast for February stands at 150,000.

Morning Note: Carney Becomes Canada’s PM, China CPI Drops, and Oracle Earnings Loom

Former central bank governor Mark Carney has claimed victory in the leadership race of Canada’s ruling Liberal Party and will be replacing Justin Trudeau as the Prime Minister, according to the official results released on Sunday.

Morning Note: Trump Tariff Concerns, Japan's Spending, and Australian Business Confidence Wane

Investors have become uneasy due to President Donald Trump's tariff plans, which have sparked a sell-off in the stock market and increased worries of an economic slump.

Morning Note: Markets Brace for U.S. Inflation Data, BoC Rate Decision & Adobe Earnings

The U.S. year-over-year (YoY) inflation rate for January stood at 3%, with February's figure anticipated to edge down slightly to 2.9%.

Morning Note: U.S. Inflation Eases, S&P 500 Rises, Oil Faces Trade War Fears

The latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year last month, down from the previous readings of 0.4% and 3.0%, respectively.

Morning Note: UK GDP Data, NVDA Stock Dip, & CAD Weakness Amid Oil Decline

The UK's month-on-month GDP growth for December was recorded at 0.4%, while the forecast for January stands at a modest 0.1%.

Morning Note: U.S. Retail Data, XRP Whale Activity, and Euro Gains

The U.S. retail sales data for January showed a year-over-year (y/y) increase of 4.2%, while the month-over-month (m/m) figure declined by 0.9%.

Morning Note: BoJ Holds Rates, Fed Decision Looms & Tencent Earnings in Focus

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan held interest rates steady, opting to take a little more time to judge how U.S. tariffs would impact the country’s export-driven economy.

Morning Note: SNB Rate Cut Expected, BoE Decision & Accenture Earnings in Focus

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is scheduled to announce its policy rate on March 20 at 08:30 GMT, with most economists anticipating a 25-basis point (bps) cut to 0.25.

Morning Note: Oil Sanctions, Canada Data, Ripple's Space Gamble

On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury announced new Iran-related sanctions, marking the first time an independent Chinese refiner was among the targeted entities and vessels involved in supplying Iranian crude oil to China.

Morning Note: Nvidia’s $1 Trillion Data Centre Bet, SEC Crypto Rules, US PMI Data

At its GTC 2025 event last week, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang projected that data centre investments would reach $1 trillion by 2028, accelerating his previous forecast for 2030.

Morning Note: S&P 500 Surges on Tariff Optimism as Tesla Jumps 10%

On Monday, the S&P 500 surged 100.01 points, or 1.76% and closed at 5,767.57. This was mainly driven by President Donald Trump's announcement that automobile tariffs would be implemented soon, stating that many countries might receive exemptions, though he provided no specifics.

Morning Note: Australia’s Inflation Cools, Japan’s Stays High, UK Awaits Data

Australia’s consumer inflation eased in February, driven by a decline in electricity prices. The continued slowdown in home building costs and rents reinforced expectations of further rate cuts in the coming months.

Morning Note: U.S. GDP, Canada Inflation & SEC Crypto-Friendly Plans

The U.S. GDP growth for the last quarter was reported at 3.1% quarter-over-quarter, while the upcoming quarter’s GDP is expected to slow to 2.3%.