The cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility recently, raising questions about its future. Following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates and end balance sheet reduction, the market did not respond as expected, instead experiencing a slight downturn. In contrast, U.S. markets achieved significant gains, with Nvidia's market capitalization exceeding $5 trillion, a global record.
Key points covered in this article include:
One of the most significant reasons for disillusionment in the cryptocurrency market is its poor performance compared to gold. While Bitcoin may have slightly outperformed the Dow Jones in terms of annual growth, it still falls far short of gold's impressive performance, which exceeded 50%. Additionally, the Dow Jones reached new record highs, further increasing the appeal of traditional markets.
Bitcoin also faces problems in establishing itself as a safe haven asset. In times of crisis, Bitcoin has not seen a significant influx of investors, but rather has been treated as just another asset in the U.S. stock market, often following the same downward trends.
Compared to the U.S. stock market, which is estimated to be worth around $70 trillion, the cryptocurrency market, which ranges between $3 and $4 trillion, seems quite small. This lack of size limits liquidity and makes the market more susceptible to manipulation.
To illustrate, Nvidia's annual revenue can be compared to the market value of the entire Ethereum. This shows that some companies in the technology sector generate revenues that exceed the total value of some of the largest cryptocurrencies.
While the field of artificial intelligence is experiencing rapid developments, the cryptocurrency market seems to be lagging behind. Many projects that claim to combine cryptocurrencies and artificial intelligence are still in their theoretical stages, while companies in the artificial intelligence sector are constantly launching new products and services.
In addition to external challenges, the cryptocurrency market also faces serious internal problems. One of the most significant of these problems is the 10/11 crash, which led to a significant loss of liquidity.
The 10/11 crash resulted in the liquidation of between $300 and $400 billion in positions, leading to a decrease in the total market size by about 1% in a single day. This crash drove many investors out of the market, further exacerbating liquidity problems.
The cryptocurrency market is characterized by a rapid turnover in trending topics. Interests change quickly, making it difficult for investors to stay up to date. Additionally, the actions of figures like Trump have increased volatility and uncertainty in the market.
A few large finance projects dominate the market, making it more like a 'piggy bank' than a field for innovation. Many investors rely on these projects to generate quick returns, reducing interest in other innovative projects.
In conclusion, projects and platforms in the cryptocurrency market should cherish the remaining investors. These investors are the ones who will provide the liquidity needed for the next generation of rallies. It is essential to focus on projects that offer real value rather than just schemes for quick gains.
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