Monday Jan 15 2024 07:15
5 min
Yesterday's trading closed with a net loss of around negative $8,000, setting the current net worth at $743,000. This downturn was largely attributed to a long position in crude oil, which unfortunately broke support, leading to substantial losses. In gold trading, the market was relatively quiet with no new entries and a noticeable one-sided decline.
Turning our attention to the U.S. Dollar Index, the daily chart reveals a string of small doji candles over the past four days.
This pattern suggests a period of market indecision. With the recent rebound appearing somewhat exhausted and no major data releases on the horizon, the outlook leans slightly towards a bearish sentiment for today.
The focus shifts towards the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release for further market cues. A potential strategy might involve shortening the dollar around the 102.6 level in anticipation of a pullback.
A closer examination of gold's recent activity shows a rebound from its lows, placing it at a critical support area. The 4-hour chart provides a more detailed view, indicating that gold briefly dipped to its lows before pulling back swiftly.
This behaviour suggests a potential for further recovery. Considering today's conditions, entering a long position in gold around the 2023 level seems plausible.
In the wake of yesterday's sharp decline, today's crude oil market appears to be under less pressure.
Observing the transition from support to resistance in the critical support area of yesterday, there's a cautious perspective towards a bearish bias for intraday trading.
The price might struggle to exceed the 72.2 level, potentially hovering around 71.8 to 71.5. Hence, a short position near the 72.2 level could be a consideration for today's market.
The Euro is currently in a phase of consolidation within an upward channel. The absence of a significant drop recently, coupled with the overall upward trend, suggests a likelihood of resuming its ascent post-adjustment.
A strategic approach might involve considering a long position on the Euro in case of a pullback, targeting an entry point near yesterday's support level of around 1.092.
Mirroring the Euro, the British Pound exhibits a similar trend and pattern. The recommendation leans towards taking a long position on the Pound, with a suggested entry point around 1.270, slightly below the Euro.
In summary, today's market analysis points towards a potential upward trend for the US Dollar Index, suggesting a short position around 102.6.
For gold, buying on dips near 2023 could be a viable approach. Crude Oil may offer opportunities for shorts near 72.2, with a cautious eye on the 71.8 to 71.5 range. For currency pairs, the Euro and Pound seem favourable for long positions at 1.092 and 1.270, respectively.
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