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Bitcoin price today: the correlation between BTC price and gold price?

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Bitcoin price today: this article will explore the correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices, examining their historical performance, market dynamics, and the factors influencing their relationship.
 


Current Bitcoin Price


As of March 17, 2025, Bitcoin's price stands at around $87,052. This figure represents a notable increase from previous years, showcasing the cryptocurrency's capacity for substantial price movements. For instance, if an investor had purchased $1,000 worth of Bitcoin ten years ago, that investment would now be worth approximately $368,194, highlighting the potential for high returns in the cryptocurrency market.

Source: tradingview
 


Historical Performance of Bitcoin


Price Volatility
Bitcoin's price history is characterized by extreme fluctuations. Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has experienced several dramatic price swings. For example, in November 2021, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of around $65,000, only to plummet to approximately $19,000 by June 2022, representing a decline of about 60%. Such volatility can be attributed to various factors, including market sentiment, regulatory news, and macroeconomic trends.

Long-Term Growth
Despite its ups and downs, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable long-term growth. The cryptocurrency broke the $1 milestone for the first time in February 2011 and has continued to rise significantly since then. In January 2025, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $109,000, showcasing its potential for substantial returns over time. However, it is essential to remember that past performance does not guarantee future results.
 


Understanding Bitcoin and Gold as Assets


Characteristics of Gold
Gold has been a cornerstone of economic systems for thousands of years. It is prized for its scarcity, durability, divisibility, and universal acceptance. Gold has served as a monetary standard, transcending political boundaries and remaining a constant store of value despite the rise and fall of various governments.

Characteristics of Bitcoin
Bitcoin, introduced in 2009, was designed to embody similar characteristics while addressing the limitations of physical assets like gold. With a programmatically capped supply of 21 million coins and a decentralized network, Bitcoin offers a groundbreaking alternative to traditional currencies and assets. Its digital nature allows for divisibility and portability, making it an attractive option for modern investors.
 


Historical Price Correlation


Price Movements
The relationship between Bitcoin and gold has undergone notable changes over time. In 2017, during Bitcoin's monumental bull run, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio reached an all-time high, indicating that Bitcoin was outperforming gold significantly. However, as Bitcoin's price corrected sharply following this rally, the ratio declined, while gold remained relatively stable. This divergence highlighted Bitcoin's speculative nature compared to gold's historical role as a safe-haven asset.

Recent Trends
In March 2020, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic brought a rare moment of alignment between Bitcoin and gold. Both assets experienced simultaneous downturns as investors reacted to economic uncertainty. However, the correlation between the two has not been stable. For instance, in late 2021, as inflationary pressures increased and central banks hinted at tightening monetary policies, Bitcoin's correlation with gold weakened significantly, indicating that the two assets were moving in opposite directions during that period.
 


Factors Influencing the Correlation Between BTC and Gold


Market Sentiment
Market sentiment plays a crucial role in the correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices. During times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset. Conversely, Bitcoin may attract speculative investment during bullish market conditions, leading to increased volatility and price fluctuations.

Regulatory Developments
The evolving regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies also impacts the correlation between Bitcoin and gold. Recent developments, such as the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), have facilitated institutional and retail investment in digital currencies. This regulatory acceptance mirrors historical moments in the gold market, where the introduction of gold ETFs significantly boosted demand and prices.

Economic Indicators
Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation rates, interest rates, and currency fluctuations, influence both Bitcoin and gold prices. For example, when inflation rises, gold is often viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation, leading to increased demand. Similarly, Bitcoin is increasingly being considered a store of value in an inflationary environment, which can affect its price dynamics relative to gold.
 


Current Correlation Analysis


Statistical Correlation
The correlation between Bitcoin and gold can be quantified using statistical measures. A correlation coefficient of +1 indicates a perfect positive correlation, meaning that the prices of both assets move in the same direction. Conversely, a coefficient of -1 indicates that they move in opposite directions. Recent analyses have shown that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has fluctuated, with periods of both positive and negative correlation observed over the years.

Recent Observations
Currently, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold appears to be relatively low, with periods of divergence becoming more pronounced. This trend suggests that while both assets may serve as stores of value, their price movements are increasingly influenced by different factors, leading to distinct market behaviors.
 


Conclusion


The correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices is complex and influenced by various factors, including market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic indicators. While both assets are often viewed as stores of value, their price movements can diverge significantly based on prevailing market conditions. As Bitcoin continues to evolve and gain acceptance, its relationship with gold may also change, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors.

Investors should remain vigilant and informed about the dynamics between these two assets, as understanding their correlation can provide valuable insights for portfolio diversification and risk management.
 



When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss. 

Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice. Trading cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets is restricted for all UK retail clients. 


 

Written by
Frances Wang
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